Disclaimer
Introduction
U.S. Military Interventions Since 1945
1. Korean War (1950 – 1953)
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Allies: UN forces (South Korea, UK, Canada, etc.)
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Adversaries: North Korea, China, supported by the USSR
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Reason: Repel North Korean invasion and prevent communist expansion
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International Consensus: Broad UN support via Resolution 82. Communist nations opposed.
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Outcome: South Korea was defended successfully; the war stabilized the Korean Peninsula but resulted in significant loss of life.
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Judgment: Good decision. Long-term stability achieved for South Korea, though at high cost.
2. Vietnam War (1955 – 1975)
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Allies: South Vietnam, South Korea, Australia, etc.
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Adversaries: North Vietnam, Viet Cong, supported by the USSR and China
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Reason: Contain communism under the Domino Theory
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International Consensus: Divided. Initial ally support waned as global protests grew.
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Outcome: Failure to stop the spread of communism, significant casualties, destabilization of Southeast Asia.
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Judgment: Poor decision. High costs with no strategic success.
3. Invasion of the Dominican Republic (1965)
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Allies: Inter-American Peace Force
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Adversaries: Dominican rebels
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Reason: Prevent a communist takeover during a civil war
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International Consensus: Limited support; regional criticism.
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Outcome: Stabilized the Dominican government, but strained U.S.-Latin American relations.
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Judgment: Mixed. Short-term objectives met, but at the cost of regional goodwill.
4. Invasion of Grenada (1983)
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Allies: Caribbean Peace Force
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Adversaries: Marxist government, Cuban forces
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Reason: Protect U.S. citizens and overthrow a Marxist regime
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International Consensus: Widely condemned by the UN. Allies were divided.
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Outcome: Swift regime change, but international relations were damaged.
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Judgment: Mixed. Domestically successful but harmed global perception.
5. Invasion of Panama (1989 – 1990)
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Allies: None
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Adversaries: Manuel Noriega’s regime
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Reason: Overthrow Noriega, combat drug trafficking, restore democracy
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International Consensus: Mixed. Regional opposition, limited global support.
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Outcome: Noriega ousted; Panama’s democratic governance restored.
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Judgment: Good decision. Objectives achieved with minimal long-term consequences.
6. Gulf War (1990 – 1991)
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Allies: Coalition of 35 nations (UK, France, Saudi Arabia, etc.)
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Adversaries: Iraq under Saddam Hussein
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Reason: Liberate Kuwait from Iraqi invasion
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International Consensus: Broad support with a UN mandate (Resolution 678)
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Outcome: Swift military victory; Kuwait liberated with minimal casualties.
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Judgment: Good decision. Exemplary coalition effort with successful outcomes.
7. Somali Civil War Intervention (1992 – 1995)
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Allies: UNOSOM II (multi-nation coalition)
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Adversaries: Somali warlords
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Reason: Provide humanitarian aid and restore order
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International Consensus: Initially supported, but criticism grew after mission failure.
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Outcome: Lives saved early, but withdrawal left Somalia unstable.
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Judgment: Mixed. Noble goals were undermined by operational failures.
8. Bosnian War Intervention (1995)
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Allies: NATO forces
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Adversaries: Bosnian Serb forces
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Reason: Stop ethnic cleansing and enforce peace accords
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International Consensus: Strong NATO and UN support
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Outcome: Dayton Accords achieved peace; ethnic cleansing was halted.
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Judgment: Good decision. Helped stabilize the Balkans.
9. Kosovo War (1999)
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Allies: NATO forces
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Adversaries: Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro)
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Reason: Prevent ethnic cleansing of Albanians
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International Consensus: Supported by NATO; opposed by Russia and China.
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Outcome: Secured Kosovo’s autonomy and prevented further atrocities.
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Judgment: Good decision. Effective humanitarian intervention.
10. War in Afghanistan (2001 – 2021)
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Allies: NATO coalition
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Adversaries: Taliban, Al-Qaeda
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Reason: Dismantle Al-Qaeda and remove Taliban post-9/11
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International Consensus: Broad initial support, but waned over time.
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Outcome: Al-Qaeda weakened, but Afghanistan returned to Taliban control after U.S. withdrawal.
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Judgment: Mixed. Early gains lost due to protracted conflict and chaotic exit.
11. Iraq War (2003 – 2011)
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Allies: Coalition (UK, Australia, etc.)
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Adversaries: Saddam Hussein, insurgent groups
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Reason: Eliminate WMDs (later disproven) and depose Saddam
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International Consensus: Controversial; lacked explicit UN authorization.
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Outcome: Saddam removed, but region destabilized; ISIS emerged.
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Judgment: Poor decision. High costs with devastating regional impact.
12. Intervention in Libya (2011)
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Allies: NATO forces
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Adversaries: Muammar Gaddafi’s regime
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Reason: Protect civilians during Libyan Civil War
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International Consensus: Supported by the UN but later criticized.
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Outcome: Gaddafi removed, but Libya descended into chaos.
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Judgment: Mixed. Achieved short-term goals but left a power vacuum.
13. Intervention against ISIS (2014 – present)
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Allies: Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS
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Adversaries: ISIS
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Reason: Eliminate ISIS and stabilize Iraq and Syria
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International Consensus: Broad coalition support.
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Outcome: ISIS territory significantly reduced, but regional stability remains uncertain.
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Judgment: Good decision. Effective counterterrorism effort.
14. Intervention in Yemen (2015 – present)
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Allies: Saudi-led coalition
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Adversaries: Houthi rebels
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Reason: Support Yemeni government against insurgents
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International Consensus: Criticized for humanitarian crises.
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Outcome: Prolonged conflict with severe human suffering.
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Judgment: Poor decision. Limited success and significant humanitarian costs.
15. Intervention in Niger (2013 – present)
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Allies: Nigerien forces, French military
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Adversaries: Boko Haram, ISIS affiliates
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Reason: Counterterrorism in the Sahel
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International Consensus: Moderate ally support.
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Outcome: Counterterrorism gains with low costs.
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Judgment: Good decision. Effective with minimal drawbacks.
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Good Decisions: 6
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Mixed Decisions: 5
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Poor Decisions: 4
Conclusion:
Our findings indicate a pattern of significant errors & shortcomings, and a completely unsatisfactory professional practice, that given their global responsibility of securing life at scale, is a professional failure, which is aligned with your assessment.” https://x.com/SkillsGapTrain/status/1860037712730079691
Appendix:
Six Criteria for Evaluation
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Achievement of Objectives: Did the intervention accomplish its stated goals?
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Long-Term Stability: Did it result in lasting peace or stability in the region?
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Human and Economic Costs: What were the human (lives lost, suffering) and financial costs?
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International Consensus: Was there global or allied support for the intervention?
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Strategic and Geopolitical Consequences: Did the intervention improve or worsen the U.S.’s position on the global stage?
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Sustainability of Outcomes: Were the achieved goals maintained, or did they collapse after withdrawal?
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